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Tackling the Climate Challenge

INTRODUCTION

Welcome to the Lower Snake and Columbia River Hot Water Report, week seven. This weekly report presents the conditions on the Lower Snake and Columbia Rivers via graphs, analyses, and stories. We have been tracking the rivers as they become too hot for migrating salmon, as well as the return of each individual salmon species.

In 2015, extreme water temperatures killed upwards of 300,000 salmon in the Columbia Basin. Extinction is looming for wild Snake River salmon and steelhead, with myriad threats facing these dwindling stocks. As each salmonid species journeys through the Columbia and Snake, we will highlight its unique attributes and discuss how different species respond to increasing river temperatures. We’ll also hear first-hand from scientists, tribal fishers, guides, and citizens on the Columbia and Snake rivers throughout the summer.

Will you be on the river this summer? Do you have a story or photo you would like to share?  Please send them to Jacob Schmidt

If, in the course of your river trips this summer, you come across a dead sturgeon, remember to contact the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife.

The Hot Water Report is a joint project of the Save Our wild Salmon Coalition, Idaho Conservation League, Columbia Riverkeeper, Idaho Rivers United, Friends of the Clearwater, and Washington Sierra Club.

Check out previous Hot Water Reports

READING THE DATA

The daily mean temperature at the forebay (upstream reservoir) of each dam is represented in the solid lines, while the 10 year average (2008-2017) for each reservoir is represented by the dashed line of the same color. The dotted line across the top of the graph represents the 68° survival threshold for juvenile salmon. The longer temperatures remain above 68° and the farther the temperatures rise above 68°, the more severe the effects, including: increased metabolism, increased susceptibility to disease, reduced fecundity (reproductive potential), and/or death.

If you are unfamiliar with the location of the Lower Snake and Lower Columbia dams, you can find them on this map.

Temperatures at Lower Granite have turned sharply upward, as Lewiston and Clarkston have experienced multiple days in excess of 100°. Cold water output from Dworshak Dam on the North Fork Clearwater is being increased to 13,000cfs counter this, but will not reach Lower Granite for three days. Meanwhile, flows of warmer water from Hells Canyon Dam have also been increased to 24,000cfs to meet electricity demands from increased air conditioner use, countering the cooling benefits from Dworshak. Managers for Dworshak Dam are currently considering reducing flows to save water for the upcoming steelhead and fall chinook runs. Further downstream temperatures remain high, with Lower Monumental experiencing a brief cooldown.

High temperatures behind the Dalles Dam have led to a complete closure of fishing near the mouth of the Deschutes River at Miller Island. The closure is in place to allow steelhead a chance to rest in the cooler water of the Deschutes before traveling further up the Columbia and possibly into the Snake River to spawn.

McNary Dam remains the outlier in the system of four Lower Columbia Dams, as it receives augmented flows from the Snake in much higher volumes than any of the tributaries lower down. Despite this, temperatures in excess of 100 degrees at Hanford and the Tri Cities have ensured that all Lower Columbia reservoirs remain well above 68°.

WEEKLY HIGH TEMPERATURES 8/3 - 8/9

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Temperature data included in these reports come from the USGS Current Conditions for Washington State and the Fish Passage Center. Graphs and tables were assembled by SOS Staff on 13 July 2018 with the latest data.

2018 Columbia-Snake Basin Adult Salmon Returns – year-to-date

Summer Chinook

The death of a newborn orca calf in the Salish Sea has drawn global attention to the lack of chinook salmon to sustain these large predators. Endangered Southern Resident Orcas rely on chinook for 80% of their diet, but the decline of chinook have left them malnourished. Snake River Spring/Summer Chinook and Snake River Fall Chinook are both ranked in the top 10 most important stocks for orca recovery. Deaths of orca calves are extremely significant as the reproductive window of the surviving orcas is only another five years. With this in mind, this week we take a look at historic chinook runs to understand just how much has been lost.

More than 55% of chinook spawning grounds were completely blocked off by dams and roads over the last century. Dams such as Grand Coulee on the Columbia and Hells Canyon on the Snake eliminated thousands of miles of spawning habitat in an instant. In the habitat that remains accessible, the impacts of human activity are quite shocking. Scientists with the USFS and Idaho Fish and Game have been counting spawning redds in the Middle Fork of the Salmon River and its major tributaries since at least the 1950s. In this pristine watershed, there were over 20,000 individual redds prior to the completion of all eight federal dams between Idaho and the Pacific, implying a run of at least 40,000 adult salmon (one male, and one female per redd) in this single river. 2017 counts revealed only 250 redds. Over this time, as more federal dams were constructed on the Columbia and Snake Rivers downstream, very little changed in the Middlefork of the Salmon. This river was one of the first to be protected as a Wild and Scenic River, and lies entirely within the Frank Church River of No Return Wilderness. This pristine habitat still exists, with its massive potential for chinook salmon productivity, if downstream passage and survival can be improved.

The summer chinook run is now complete, with fisheries managers treating all returning chinook as fall run for the remainder of the year. Summer chinook runs have declined far more than any other, as they migrate through the mainstems of the rivers during the hottest months of the year with no relief. While river temperatures this year have been lower than 2017, summer returns are still on the decline. Note that even the best years recently saw returns well below the productivity of the Middle Fork Salmon alone in years before completion of all eight of Lower Snake and Columbia Dams. If the Lower Snake dams were to be removed, summer chinook numbers could double within a few years, feeding the starving orcas.

New Links

NW  Sportsman: COLUMBIA AT DESCHUTES MOUTH, LOWER HALF MILE OF TRIB CLOSING TO ALL FISHING

Oregon Live: Oregon closes steelhead sanctuary off mouth of Deschutes to all fishing

CBB: State Of The Climate Report: 2017 Was Third Warmest Year On Record

CBB: River Managers Opt To Save Cool Dworshak Water For Upcoming Salmon/Steelhead Migration  

Spokesman: With climate change warming Washington’s waters fish are left seeking a place to chill

Past Links

Heat Wave: Renewables pass a test, but greater challenges await

First Sockeye Arrives at Redfish

Alan Lieres Fish Hunting Report for August

Rule Change for Columbia River Anglers

TCH: Fishing halted in Tri-City area due to hot river waters

CBB: Tripped Generators At Dworshak Temporarily Interrupts Water Releases Cooling Clearwater, Lower Snake  

Eastern Oregonian: Pacific lamprey swarm Umatilla River in best numbers in years

Oregonian: Tribes return to the chilly waters of Willamette Falls for annual lamprey harvest

Portland Tribune: Mitigating the migration

Nez Perce Tribe Lamprey Restoration Project

DART Columbia Basin "Quick Look" Adult Passage

CBB: River Managers Ponder Passage Gaps For Snake River Sockeye At Lower Snake Dams  

Columbia Basin Bulletin: Climate Forecast Favors Onset Of El Nino, Could Mean Warmer Winter In Northwest

Drought Conditions Hitting Oregon, Washington; Most Streamflows In Basin Remain Healthy

CBB: With Temps Rising, Corps Cools Snake River With Dworshak Water To Aid Endangered Snake River Sockeye

Idaho Fish and Game: Sockeye

Lonesome Larry

Times of London: Scottish Heatwave is Disastrous for Salmon Industry

WSU: Demand factored into Columbia River Basin’s future

Columbia Basin Bulletin: With Run Downgrade, Summer Chinook Fishing Below Bonneville Dam Ends Early; Sockeye Above Forecast  

Columbia Basin Bulletin: Corps Second Spill Report to Court Details Impacts of High Flows

Hatch Magazine: Trout and Water Temperature: How Hot is Too Hot?

Alan Lierres Fish Hunting Report, July 4

Oregon Live: Columbia River spring chinook salmon run prediction downgraded

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