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Tackling the Climate Challenge

INTRODUCTION

Welcome to the Lower Snake and Columbia River Hot Water Report, week four. This weekly report presents the conditions on the Lower Snake and Columbia Rivers via graphs, analyses, and stories. We’ll track the rivers as they become too hot for migrating salmon, as well as the return of each individual salmon species.

In 2015, extreme water temperatures killed upwards of 300,000 salmon in the Columbia Basin. Extinction is looming for wild Snake River salmon and steelhead, with myriad threats facing these dwindling stocks. As each salmonid species journeys through the Columbia and Snake, we will highlight its unique attributes and discuss how different species respond to increasing river temperatures. We’ll also hear first-hand from scientists, tribal fishers, guides, and citizens on the Columbia and Snake rivers throughout the summer.

 

Will you be on the river this summer? Do you have a story or photo you would like to share? Please send them to Jacob Schmidt

If, in the course of your river trips this summer, you come across a dead sturgeon, remember to contact the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife.

The Hot Water Report is a joint project of the Save Our wild Salmon Coalition, Idaho Conservation League, Columbia Riverkeeper, Idaho Rivers United, Friends of the Clearwater, and Washington Sierra Club.

Check out past Hot Water Reports

READING THE DATA

The daily mean temperature at the forebay (upstream reservoir) of each dam is represented in the solid lines, while the 10 year average (2008-2017) for each reservoir is represented by the dashed line of the same color. The dotted line across the top of the graph represents the 68° survival threshold for juvenile salmon. The longer temperatures remain above 68° and the farther the temperatures rise above 68°, the more severe the effects, including: increased metabolism, increased susceptibility to disease, reduced fecundity (reproductive potential), and/or death.

If you are unfamiliar with the location of the Lower Snake and Lower Columbia dams, you can find a map here.

The temperature at Ice Harbor dam has skyrocketed this week, so much so that I have had to adjust the upper limit of the graph from here on out. This marks the first time on the lower Snake this year that the daily average temperature has remained above the survival threshold for multiple days in a row.

You may remember from last week that cold water from Dworshak Reservoir was being spilled in order to aid sockeye migration. The ability to add cold water to the Clearwater River just above its confluence with the Snake is sometimes cited as a key feature of Dworshak--a dam which cut off fish passage from the extensive North Fork Clearwater Basin--however, the benefit of added cold water do not last long in the heat of the summer and do not spread downstream. While the red line representing Lower Granite Dam has remained the lowest of the four, the July 9 spill has made no measurable difference at the other three downstream dams.

On the Lower Columbia, all four dams are now registering not only daily high temperatures above the survival threshold, but daily average temperatures as well. From Beacon Rock to Pasco, every mile of the Columbia river is too hot for migrating salmon. If previous years are any indication, we will not see temperatures drop back below 68° for the next month. In the past, the current temperature has started to blend with the 10 year average at this point in the year, however in 2018 we are seeing current temperatures remain a few degrees above the 10 year average.

WEEKLY HIGH TEMPERATURES

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Ice Harbor Dam near the confluence of the Columbia and Snake in Pasco, WA reached temperatures above the survival threshold of 68° every day this week, peaking on 19 July at 70.2°. Lower Monumental and Little Goose, the next dams upstream of Ice Harbor have closed in on that temperature record, staying above the threshold for as many days this week as Ice Harbor. John Day Dam, which forms the longest reservoir on the Lower Columbia registered the highest temperature of the Columbia dams once again at 70.2°. Temperatures at Bonneville Dam matched those at John Day a day later.

Temperature data included in these reports come from the USGS Current Conditions for Washington State and the Fish Passage Center. Graphs and tables were assembled by SOS Staff on 13 July 2018 with the latest data.

2018 Columbia-Snake Basin Adult Salmon Returns – year-to-date

Sockeye Salmon Continued

A week has past since we first looked at sockeye salmon returning to the Snake River Basin, but the run has hardly improved. At the time of the fish counts shown in the graph above, scientists estimate that 90-100% of sockeye returning this year have passed Ice Harbor and that 65-85% have passed Lower Granite. Looking to the red bars on the graph above, note that 53% of the run is lost between Ice Harbor and Lower Monumental Dam, a distance of 32 miles. While some of the difference is attributable to timing, i.e. a portion of those fish counted at Ice Harbor had simply not reached Lower Monumental yet, evidence suggests that the majority of these fish have died in the hot slow water of the reservoir.

Unlike steelhead, and chinook which find colder water to wait in and recuperate, upstream migrating sockeye do not rest. They just keep going. This behavior, coupled with their presence in the hot, dammed sections of the rivers at the hottest time of the year--June and July--makes them uniquely vulnerable to fatigue over the course of 320 miles of hot slackwater.


Only a slim portion of the 167 sockeye that have reached Lower Granite are wild or naturally spawning fish. Most of the already small number of sockeye that will reach Redfish Lake will be hatchery fish, which while important for providing genetic material to the hatchery program, do not count toward endangered species recovery. Last year, 228 total sockeye crossed Lower Granite Dam. Of these, 162 survived to the Sawtooth Valley. Only 11 of these were wild or natural spawners. When that proportion is applied to this year’s Lower Granite return so far, we are left with a single digit wild return to Redfish Lake.


How then is it possible to recover the 2,500 wild origin sockeye needed to meet the recovery goal set forth by the Endangered Species Act? This question may not have an answer with the current state of habitat for Snake River sockeye. What sockeye are experiencing in the river right now with temperatures exceeding 70° is not unusual, it has become routine. The status quo of Columbia/Snake dams, and hot water due to both the reservoir condition and climate change, is a death trap for this species.

New Links

Columbia Basin Bulletin: Climate Forecast Favors Onset Of El Nino, Could Mean Warmer Winter In Northwest

Drought Conditions Hitting Oregon, Washington; Most Streamflows In Basin Remain Healthy

Past Links

CBB: With Temps Rising, Corps Cools Snake River With Dworshak Water To Aid Endangered Snake River Sockeye

Idaho Fish and Game: Sockeye

Lonesome Larry

Times of London: Scottish Heatwave is Disastrous for Salmon Industry

WSU: Demand factored into Columbia River Basin’s future

Columbia Basin Bulletin: With Run Downgrade, Summer Chinook Fishing Below Bonneville Dam Ends Early; Sockeye Above Forecast  

Columbia Basin Bulletin: Corps Second Spill Report to Court Details Impacts of High Flows

Hatch Magazine: Trout and Water Temperature: How Hot is Too Hot?

Alan Lierres Fish Hunting Report, July 4

Oregon Live: Columbia River spring chinook salmon run prediction downgraded

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